Aaron Schatz, FootballOutsiders.com

Every Friday at this time we talked football with errant shots from football outsiders dot com. And joins us on the line parent I don't do well out pretty good at that co hosting stuff. That was a very enjoyable people so it was great on the radio again after what -- let -- yours.

So how was it -- level what was the most fun -- mean did dusty Barton give yard time was intimidated by you. Did you really just shot them down and what happened gives the inside story.

budget a funny story about the burden brothers I had no idea -- can be and so Burton's son and my daughter were born in seam fastball on the same day. It was right after football outsiders it's started and I in the holy trying to decide if I should go to try to. You know get -- in with Steve Burton or let him have time with his family. And chose the latter. I didn't do it okay but still remember talkative Philip ball you know republic first time father so here we were like four years later. Radio.

One of the things that you guys discussed but I found interesting was the kicking position and you. In particular were looking at at the years Adam Vinatieri had in Indianapolis in the year this Stephen Gostkowski had year. Your point was the style ski better.

got casket batter and I mean the other one we were looking out last week I think -- came up when nick called on private speed Bobble ago. I had you know runs numbers about Rob Bironas two -- because Tennessee Indianapolis late last week and it's ridiculous opera and it had had eleven. Locals forty or longer only to -- Vinatieri had three -- And -- from longer and -- mean that's just unbelievable that's about asking for all that he was you know slightly below average on field goals this year. He's so good on kick offs that he just because our speakers -- the only kicker was better pure cups Rackers.

I guess the only question is and it's a pretty big question. Is that what does -- do in a situation -- into the game in Adam Vinatieri has three situations on his resonate where you can say one. We might not win the Super Bowl if it hadn't been for my work.

Right -- the saying is that when you look at clutch field goals packed clutch field. Performance does absolutely not tell future -- I know it's announced remarkable but it is true. And it does not mean we should not celebrate the greatness of Vinatieri -- and I happen to think he should be hole -- as far as the future they don't see any. You don't believe me ask -- charts. Because he had that -- to be and COLT were still competition for home field throughout my check. He just wasn't good this year and there's nothing that says that when the chips are down in the playoffs. Vinatieri going to indicate that that's -- won't -- cheating won't hinder the owners want at or any of.

Well -- speaking of kickers and speaking of the playoffs I need to back appeared I happen to believe. That Rob Bironas and the Tennessee Titans are going to go on to San Diego and upset the chargers Peter King says I'm crazy dale disagrees with me in you're gonna tell me that I'm right in going to have statistical backup for me right.

Want to tell you they are right but I not to tell you that you're crazy I mean -- the funny thing is we want to like make ups will -- when it comes playoff times but. No can't -- salute to all. Probabilities average at every -- at the chance to upset the other T. I think that would the titans in the chargers you have a couple of issues here that people don't quite understand and one that -- it. One they understand is that's objectively there's not a good numbers to himself. -- I mean noticed that the guys -- the worst code and.

Over the past history is no indication of future performance.

checkers and maybe yeah I'm happy not for coaches it's aren't titans got to think it they were the best defense our ratings this year. But this year was -- compact -- they would of only in the ninth best -- the last dozen years however. If you remove the three games which they did not have helped change because of injury. They go to being the tenth best piece of the last two years. Has an unbelievable impact because he the double -- double team you can't double team and the -- the opinion on Odom just make things better for. -- but it seemed better for the secondary because a quarterback has slipped on the throw paper it is just. It's just huge impact on that and just very different team in there which gives -- better shot at beating. Tart -- in the offense can't do it it's a team -- eat and sit around and they kept the corporate respect forced the purpose to beat the and hit and out for like fifteen minutes now that home ending up -- couldn't score enough points to put the chargers away and -- came back. Now they're in San Diego I don't trust the profits to court of points of the charges -- there.

Well in fact will Carroll writing on your website looks at at the east playoff teams for this weekend from a medical perspective. He theorizes that Vince young's injury may not affect the squad that could be hip that's more serious than anybody expects. As he points out wide receiver Roydell Williams broke his ankle in practice Wednesday he's done both skate is out of course with the last serrated kidney. So the offense which you what Marty pointed out is not that good to begin with may even worse than we think.

I am I the only thing they get the opposite going for. Is that the titans liked LeBron there were one of three teams that ran more than 2% of the time even if you take Vince young's run. And San Diego's defense is much better the past on the -- when it happens scrambling quarterback that improves the running game. Opens up the running lanes you don't have to look for the cut back scramble actually did numbers for -- yes Yankees earlier this year on the and so it's it's Kerry -- in there you know he can throw the ball better but now the -- sent to key on brown and white not have to worry. So much because what -- constant -- when he had to.

What do you see in the Pittsburgh Jacksonville game there.

I you know this is not worth the road team I think as the favorite rightfully so it's only -- the trends are ridiculous. For Pittsburgh and Jacksonville Jacksonville is the a second best offense. He since midseason if there's six best he spent where as Kasper was thirteen and our rankings in the season they dropped to actors. I mean he couldn't have two teams that was more strongly going up and down opposite each. At the same time ever -- points in the Jacksonville played in Pittsburgh couple weeks ago which was you know. Prove we can play in the nor type game. Appointment as a Jacksonville in -- out of water with the one touchdown game checked the did not score the winning touchdown -- two -- It was not a lot so I can't reject those favorite in this game I think accurate but the idea people's habits like they're definitely can win. While Mike got to have to -- patriots scored skid -- scared of the -- played so well now are still got a pretty good shot.

Do you buy into the the factor that the week after playing the patriots. Teams have a hard time going out they're performing well patriots opponents this year were for an eleven. Following a patriots game in the four wins were against teams you'd expect them to be against. And does that make it even harder for the giants this weekend going into Tampa --

I won't say this is something that I would like to study and figure out there really has statistical significance she -- four. You know of the fact that play different teams of two qualities I had someone sent -- numbers showing that the teams with the Arizona Cardinals tended to next week as far as the giants this week goes I think it impact them in -- there's no shop here. Sutter and I don't exactly know what's -- Sam Madison and try to the other guy's got to be commits you know I mean -- well there's although that. You know what what it will sink in and it was it was faster I think my strength against temple -- much more. With Ernest grant this is the biggest mismatch this week and numbers it's not a parts.

They got Tampa just -- not giants.

Well not necessarily that they're not really -- those people out by their batter and they're much better giants -- the worst team in the playoffs by our numbers even. After they had the best game they had all year against New England once she put in the opponent. One game is not attract people act like one game this moment it's not either ninety Artrell. And the fact that they had one great game does not change the fact that they've been declining over the course of the city's.

Let's interest as an interest -- Segway because the Washington Redskins have not had one great game. Nor have they had nine they've had maybe 45 so do you like them going into Seattle and knock off the --

Yeah you know an interesting column if you look at the season as a whole we have been pretty close to each other yet Seattle slightly Seattle played his scheduled week which Washington by our numbers had the fourth hardest schedules it's hardest among play. So that means that they are a little closer together then we might be able to these sort of superficial stats are memories of watching them play on television. Obviously you know there are no numbers to -- this emotional thing that Washington has going for right now. But got emotional and -- I mean you know they've got one of the top -- and -- will be primarily because the noise quest -- opponents default start. More than any others -- even -- wrote -- start but the so popular Spanish -- means something. It's it was the better team in this game and I would not be shocked to see Washington.

Depending and obviously as we sit here now we don't know with the patriots on will be on January 12 but we have an idea of the range of possibilities. In all of these games Jacksonville Pittsburgh. San Diego Tennessee Indianapolis whoever it is and then ultimately to a Super Bowl against an NFC team. How big a favorite will the patriots beat based on your numbers in any of those matchups.

Well you know it's tough as great as they are this year at the fact is there are other teams that also have been berry berry. And we do have to sort of access. There is any chance that they -- points to Jacksonville I don't people losing to Dallas. Those teams have been -- insisted that has been really bad. I mean they played their starters -- We hear they're completely different team over the last month world first it's tough because you know we know that the patriots sort of become sort of in balance they lose people talk about this season. Was offered -- and the fact is Indianapolis Jacksonville are really good keeps the patriots are better. The better team does it certainly you don't. Well so the favorites but you know it's not like we should expect that -- stop into the playoffs the way that would play -- well in China.

You know what I would love to see you do and if you've done this already you know I stand corrected about to see you have an analysis of Jerry rice's 1987 season -- Randy Moss since 2007 season just to break down the tell me which speed was more impressive right you think. Jerry rice because twelve games that I'd like to see some.

There's no question -- Steve Moore it's actually Kevin lidge from the L guy you were San Francisco chronicle and right -- on this for us I'm not quite sure whatever became of you know twelve games that's pretty -- He also I remember correctly did not do all in. Because Brady and and markets set the record for quarterback to receiver touched prior to do actually setting record for -- touched not happening with the quarterback.

So rice -- case it would have been what. Montana and young.

I think it means twenty -- before where I think that would make defeat nick dot. -- Said right that's about others asterisk Andy's record. I mean no disrespect to Jerry rice -- players struck in 97 from very good reasons but. They chose not to get there was the right choice based on the economics of the time but it was their choice was not a twelve games sixteen games. So you know I can't say. Oh man there should be an asterisk because that I can't believe the NFL is still counting this record. When he did at sixteen games to the twelfth -- know just respect Jerry but the did not want to strike that year there's sort of you know -- managed so greatest Jerry rice's. Accomplishment was that record rent -- yeah.

In the same thing every that they -- Henderson has the the completion percentage record. And they played nine games.

Overnight 82 yeah I would cavity between diet and I didn't at least -- I don't lack is confidence.

Crazy you look what we were talking about that earlier in the area I hate to Tom -- trying to break him Anderson's record. Records from nine it happens.

Don't think he has the record don't like because eighty water -- spots let those commanders I think still the record. Well I'll bet chalk it up the air like -- seventh -- trying to get the records against Miami kind of got the chance to. Which parent like cares that much.

Give us the bumper sticker version of which four teams win this weekend I picked our favorite except. And do you like all the home teams except for Pittsburgh.

I mean I wouldn't say which teams favorite I would say yes and I think. That of the road teams the one at least likely to win.

we always appreciate -- tucked in next week. Banks take care okay errant shots from football outsiders dot com