Aaron Schatz, Football Outsider

Every week. We talked with -- errant shots from football outsiders dot com normally we do it on Friday. We move it up to -- this week an -- well by the way beat co hosting a show for -- next week Aaron thanks for being with us John -- here as well -- And do well hey guys Tayshaun. Aaron what's up. That's right we we and I hang them Harvard guy yes you know trolling that hold -- together some then I. I'm not sure how many colored -- these sports statistics can't.

Actually Italian 99 era and dialect -- idea of the -- doesn't want to be able to common among themselves on -- smallest detail I was waste my time sports staff. I mean -- clicked. And just hang up when your not going to picture of me with act with -- I had a nice picture with a little with a Harvard crashed in front of the podium and it was the but he does it.

It was very fancy pants -- Every week we talked about with patriots did last weekend and where they stand historically now you made the point on your website this week that. The patriots really didn't do anything last week. And yet they are still historically one of the great teams ever.

yeah I mean listen date that you know directly about -- couple weeks ago on ESPN. The fact is the greatest team in history and -- not just talking about you know as far back as our numbers go which -- not sit and talk about going all the way back. They all had a couple of wins during the season that work you know they'll fighters were they just got out of a lot to 72 dolphins eat 491 awful team at one point and 85 bears. Champa buy it -- a combined seventeen points and two games in camp at two wins coherently. It happened she -- close games especially when it's windy in. Spelling and whatnot so I would be too worried about what happened to -- recent mini wrote a thing for MSNBC that this jets showed the blueprint to beat the patriots so sick -- The blueprint to beat the patriots was to make them run against a kick the blueprint to beat the patriots used to call god and ask for a wizard. That's old encouraged every year.

You made a point also that the patriots in terms of the best offensive numbers in the history of football. Have slipped behind the 2004 Indianapolis Colts all ball by a very slim amount.

That in our ratings -- again I mean they only go back in 96 by it right now we have that those two teams that sort of traded the top spot overall over the last couple weeks he's not measuring as the colts would have been through X number of weeks now. The patriots will pat but probably the next two weeks because people won't remember that the 2004 colts went into -- territory in week sixteen that he'd. And I doubt we're really going to be seeing that much Matt Cassel around here over the next two weeks. So I'm sure that they'll pretty much go down as. -- sensible last dozen years and I can't -- that's before that. That was much better than 94 49ers you know could be there equals but this is just an unbelievable offense.

I saw this today as I was -- website what did you how did you count the Bryant Westbrook.

I ended up going getting counting that's attached. It didn't it doesn't make up much difference in my stats and -- to everything about football outsiders numbers. Is that touchdowns are not work anywhere near as much they are you know you'd say fantasy football. Because while getting from the one to the goal line is harder than any of the other guard to left game. It's not that much harder so 25 yard run that -- the one it is really valuable. He doesn't have to score the touchdown but like it -- the touchdown anyway just because we don't know.

About it and I mean as I watched at my door bars that don't him thoughts that was -- You know when I watched it my first thought was. You know score the touchdown -- and and you mated to two score game but I guess the erratic you know what -- it more thought about it later I thought it was -- after I thought about and I thought you know you you eliminate any possibility of the other team doing anything yet because you get to kneel down and run out the clock. If you can score I guess technically they could have somehow come up with a couple scores although it wasn't going to happen that day but I I guess he was right along.

Yeah -- the funny thing is I kind of forgot about this but there was a somewhat similar situation last year Philadelphia was playing Tampa -- now at that point. Fill up you would actually music with a minute. Have a lot. And Westbrook broke a huge run and he scored and that put Philly had I want to point. And then Tampa Bay had enough time to come back and kick that ridiculous you know almost record breaking 62 yard field or whatever and beat them. And there was some discussion last year that you let the -- dropped down at the one. Figuring equals -- with four shots from the goal line in not to -- compact but. That was a different situation because they needed to go ahead with this what I mean besides the game period.

Adam chapter of the NFL network made the point this morning when he was on the station and -- thought it was a good one. The dolphins might actually suffer from a let down this week.

I don't care okay so that the that the patriots would beat them by. You know thirty instead of the 21 it would have been and before.

I I mean and but I also think what you're seeing is guys who have been forcing themselves out onto the field to get that one win and Jason Taylor.

Like Jason Taylor on crutches I mean that's the very definition of let down.

Yeah and I don't -- I don't think he'll play this weekend because you know there's really nothing there's really no reason for him to play at this point once they got the win and didn't have to suffer. You know the the embarrassment of being the only winless team in history -- let's get the hell out of here.

And I'm very happy for that because they've really except -- two games were -- as the quarterback. They we're not the worst team in NFL history they were nowhere -- that it set six -- the -- Baltimore colts and they did not deserve to go down with that kind of you know. Horrible record and I'm glad that they --

Who is the worst is the major to going to be since you've been doing the ratings since 96 the patriots to -- the best team who was who's the worst.

The worst and even our ratings going back -- 96 that the 2005 49ers and in the 2002 Texans. -- you know I think if we wouldn't you know eventually -- the play by play and take our -- all the way back. I don't think that people really argue with 76 -- is the worst team ever an 81 colts were were probably worse on the worst non expansion team that he was at. Most ridiculously it would they world.

I'm Michael I only do these ratings for the Boston Celtics that's a FF.

you don't listen embodies the palpable people you know you know burn the lone. John -- ESPN roll beat those guys alternate -- thing about the basketball world is there with the exception -- John -- I don't work for team.

Yes sure what's really the MBA is really adopt me out earlier doubt that. As a way to you know it's it's not baseball thought the same as them but you Lauren a lot of things. About you know there's just different numbers that they look at and efficiency ratings. The company I think it started trickling to more mainstream in the NBA is -- plus minus.

Yeah that was going to be just think for a long he actually started out with a -- like idea but he. He transitional about Holley just enjoys the game. The basketball game that I go to these conferences and opinion out of the -- Boca because there's like baseball guys and five after I had.

And no call -- enjoy your -- stint in here next week I'll be listening although I probably won't be listening and --

I don't vacation everybody enjoyed their holidays I'm looking forward to it and able -- talk about X sixteen and and the game against the giants -- I think it's going to be the perfect season at this point two artists he would not be.

Yeah I'm I'm with -- on that I'm still worried about the -- in the playoffs but the regular season all right Aaron thanks very much take care errant shots from football outsiders dot com joining us