Aaron Schatz

We'll get to the calls have you guys in just few minutes each and every Friday at this time. We take a little more on nuts and bolts statistical look at the National Football League when our friend errant shots from football outsiders dot com hello Aaron how -- Game of this picture of me okay. Now -- got that right adamant you know yet. There earlier this week do this in English -- earlier this week Chris Collins -- went on inside the NFL and said that if the patriots win this game you might be looking at the at the greatest team in NFL history. Just looking at them from the numbers perspective how good -- this offense historically.

Well I would say that the patriots would this game you might be looking at the greatest team in L history. You'd agree that I you know I would say. If either of these team sweeps the up there and let's assume they're going to meet yes championship. They have looked very good -- bit to be considered the greatest team NFL history obviously don't know. How many other games they'll lose but the team that most of the bit about considered the best teams in our history is not the undefeated semi adult. The 85 there so losing the game does not mean they're not the best treatment at a L history -- So both of these teams are playing at a level where if they can be the other one twice been apparent that --

What era I liked the way you set at the second time it if one of these teams. Sweeps the other then yes but I have a real problem was with anoint anybody after. Nine wins if with the patriots are eight lands if with the colts' big deal.

Now I don't know I just say having you know as they are playing now and it's sort of forecast that forward even thinking that they might lose a game. They're certainly looking like they're going to be in that conversation with 85 pairs with a 91 Redskins in. You know with the Packers -- the early 60s.

Art -- pretty good at the stuff. -- a score for this game.

I had -- I had -- big act scores his solid of course kind of fools game you know Gregg easterbrook is are about as many. -- is back before it was right about how evil the patriots where. He was writing about how predict the score was sort of silly but. My guess that you're going to have a high scoring game I think that people over estimate the quality of the patriots beat sent this year compared to years past as atlases there offenses they're deep fences certainly it. A top five cent but it's not a dominating Juan so I think you're going to have a high scoring -- so my guess would be something like 3830. And do not be surprised to the difference in this game and Ellis -- kick return touchdowns for a long kick return that put that in you know position for the winning field.

Just -- and with my friend you know iron Nazis yeah it's on every now and again -- is his favorite player ever in the game as well.

Our top -- because it not just Ellis -- but the that the patriots have one of the two or three that kick off meant in. Adam Vinatieri for all of his -- fitness is an average kick off. He's an average kick up Scott playing with a terrible kickoff coverage to. And the patriots have excellent kickoff returner it's the biggest advantage for the patriots in this game is the difference in in kick off and given the amount of scoring that you're gonna have in this game that the a big advantage every time the patriots kick off they have an advantage every time called kick off the patriots have a impetus.

Guess what that's going to come to pass up to his going to come to pass that is a prediction of -- about the points which you just said there. I have a feeling it's gonna happen not to because my boy Ellis Hobbs. But that's a very good the bigger point that a lot of people are bringing up.

And it may not be a -- touchdown -- you know can return that back in the 30 that still put them in much the Bill Clinton and the kind of you know when got out he's going to have to which we touch back in this thing.

Let's go through the football outsiders rankings offenses you've got patriots won Indianapolis to. Deep fences you've got the patriots three Indianapolis six. Special teams you've got the patriots five the Indianapolis Colts 13 you've got the patriots better in all three areas of again.

Right and as you know I've noted multiple times but now it's really true these -- the two best teams ever threw a week by our numbers and numbers go back tonight. In 96 but with what they -- Washington last week in week you know we can argue I would prefer not to what we could argue about all running of the -- nonsense but with what they get to Washington last week the patriot kind of pulled ahead of the.

And I you have an emotional guy -- just look at it for what it is okay right down the middle. So take this outside of our our New England biases here and tell me. Do you believe. That there is some hater -- in the air toward the New England Patriots are the national commentators really. Jumping on the -- as we think they are.

Welcome you outburst about let me tell you at 4 O'Clock on Sunday I would be just as a socialist -- I actually -- just -- bad I take my analysis hat off you know. It's clear that there's something going on here this happen but. A lot in sports but plucky underdog team once plucky underdog teams sort of establish itself. As the dynasty. It becomes easy to hate remember that in 1996 Yankees were kinda like this level bulls squad -- tech squad and they gradually turned into evil empire. The Red Sox can afford think about how the rest of the country accused the Red Sox now compared to -- the culture about two years away for. I mean you know it it. It happens to every team that goes to the -- and there's no doubt right now that there's all kinds of this going on the patriots people were looking for ways to trying to take telecheck all throughout the precinct if you read Mike -- pro football pot which is the big rumor site that everybody in the league read. My man Michael David Smith from football outsiders is also -- number two there. All throughout the preceded it -- running our current anti patriot rumors and it was clear at a certain point you know even senate I don't know -- these rumors are true and it's their -- or float rumors that they want to get the patriots and remember I want but the practice are they -- that's what that guy on the -- practice squad --

Randy moss is on the verge of being cut because he's not a team guy. Richard Seymour is going to be out for the season you're right there's a lot of stuff out there.

So I mean hey you know I. I you know it's clear that you know everybody nobody likes a lot and that's the situation.

when you look at now a very very good Indianapolis offense obviously is he says second best ever right now out of the patriots. How much is that offense affected if Marvin Harrison doesn't --

It looked like Marvin Harrison will apply. I mean it affected there's no doubt about it Aaron -- that's -- meant that the drop and you know Gonzales is doing some stuff he's playing all right the drop -- have been palaces. The drop in the drop two more -- even bigger. But it looks like Harrison is going to -- I don't know how healthy shall be there's no doubt that the patriots go into the healthier okay obviously you know we would like to see Ben Watson in. But Hairston -- a question to -- it was a question and then the big one is and I can't get any answer from. Anybody even the men will Carroll you know those injuries footer for baseball prospectus and good friends. And lives in Indianapolis doesn't have an -- Tony -- Okay Charles Johnson last week would get killed by the Carolina Panthers at left tackle it was the first time all year we some Annie get pressure. And if you don't can't play that is a huge plus for the patriots to see weren't Jarvis Green covenant on Charles Johnson all the --

Almost felt guilty ask you about a different game them -- actually other games this week.

Actually this -- there are others that the other games this week a better than the other games were the weak that the patriots without.

Played -- Philadelphia and Dallas and got Pittsburgh and Baltimore. Any games really interest you outside that's when that he has some analysis for you something intriguing is happening in one of these games.

tightly played I've actually get -- hit Philadelphia to Dallas this week and they said they might have trouble getting media passes speak. Because you know it's to hardcore rivalry game like that to them you know what I have a feeling this time most essential need somewhere else but -- there are a lot of interest in -- going on this week there's no doubt about it. You know. Jacksonville and in New Orleans this sort of interest into the New Orleans kind of coming back recently and it looks like they're kind of on the rise again in Jacksonville. You know has been my sleepers is beginning of the year but when greatest so. Chargers vikings is great is that the vikings are so good run defense the chargers have Ladainian Tomlinson. And then you know I mean you know eagles cowboys the hardcore rivalry Steelers ravens hardcore rivalry division -- read the ticket those two games or night games. Don't have to worry about patriots colts will be over by then there's Tony Clark I don't spend all of but it -- football punt hatred supposed to know the ravens. And Steelers will be the actual -- on the field.

tailor your sleeper team Jacksonville that the only team and I felt that runs to set up the three yard pass.

Eloquent grade they run to set up -- that goes three people.

All I -- so awful lot of argument it's humid especially sweet to me that's fantasy football special. If you're so good that.

Kevin Jones versus Denver Broncos. Because the Denver Broncos have the worst run defense in the -- this year the fact the -- then Purdue offense has been bad this year which is really odd I think. And part of it is Champ Bailey a little hurt. They're playing a lot of so which seems strange given that they've got straight -- Champ Bailey. And then they've just been really stopped at the middle of al Wilson not there and you know the defensive tackle -- that's doubts look at an Detroit it's like somebody finally knocked some sense in the Mike Martz he kept passed by 5% of the time Kevin Jones is better writer of the hit talent.

the -- a if anybody got him Dave you have them every scrambling for the computer result of the -- about it. Aaron we always appreciate time India and the input we'll talk to you next week.

And doctor next week I don't take -- commanders -- with a victory.

I Erick thanks allotment errant shot from football outsiders dot com go to their web site football outsiders not on the got great stuff